Summary
Ryan Coogler’sSinnersmay have had a spectacular opening weekend at the box office, but it apparently won’t stop there as all roads are pointing to a no less historic second weekend.
Sinnersis a vampirehorror-thriller directed by Ryan Coogler and stars Michael B. Jordan—the fifth such collaboration between the duo—in the dual role of twin brothers Smoke and Stack. The film takes place in the 1930s American South and follows the brothers who return home to establish a juke joint, only for their community to be blindsided by a terrifying vampire invasion.Sinnersopened with $45.6 million domesticallyand $15.6 million from 71 overseas markets, ousting fellow Warner Bros. titleA Minecraft Movieas the top dog in the U.S. The film is also second to Jordan Peele’sNope($44.4 million) in terms of the strongest domestic debuts for an original horror film, although the director still holds the ultimate record withUS($70.3 million).
Sinners Is Heading For A Historically Low Second-Weekend Drop
At Least $100 Million Domestic Total This Weekend, Analysts Say
Sinners' second-weekend drop would be softer than usual if predictions are any guide (and they were during the film’s opening). After grossing $10 million in its second Friday in theaters, a -48% drop,Deadlinereports that the filmis tracking to earn a $35 - $40 million total this weekend—$30 million by conservative estimates— in 3,347 theaters. With this unprecedented -17% second-weekend dip,Sinnersadds two new box office medals to its already expanding records. First, it would be only 2% more thanGet Out’smind-blowing -15.4% drop in 2017 ($28.2 million, down from $33.4 million) and the undisputed best in the horror or R-rated genre post-COVID. Second, even going by conservative estimates, fans should expect a $107 million domestic cube by Sunday, which would see it surpassTheSuper Mario Bros.’$100.2 million in 2012 as the post-pandemic best among final weekends of April.
Sinners’spectacular hold-up is proof of the power of an A Cinemascore—unheard of among R-rated horror flicks. IfCoogleris indeed following in the footsteps ofPeele withGet Out, then a $250 million domestic run is in the cards. A 5.3x multiplier may seem too much to ask for, but Warner Bros. executives and the movie’s stakeholders would gladly disagree given the movie’s $90 million budget. The only thing that might betray that intent is an early shift to digital and streaming, a habit Warner Bros has recently formed. And that’s not even considering the arrival of new and bold competition this weekend inThe Accountant 2andStar Wars: The Revenge of the Sith20th anniversary re-release. Analysts project the former to sport a $23 million opening and the latter, $18- $20 million.
As of this writing,Sinnershas already dethronedDisney’sSnow Whiteremakeas the fourth-biggest movie of 2025 and is on its way to becoming just the third movie of the year to cross the $100 million threshold in the United States. It’s definitely heading into a profitable venture for Warner Bros.
